Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 10.249421 11.839060 13.541205 15.493447 17.664484 19.998577 22.691439
2025-06-01 8.127138 10.178475 12.513091 15.346559 18.671190 22.426894 26.967742
2025-06-08 6.562043 8.821831 11.532527 14.982449 19.212055 24.182955 30.417565
2025-06-15 5.616803 8.035329 11.071426 15.093805 20.207757 26.414310 34.430069
2025-06-22 4.800277 7.281741 10.531558 14.997748 20.863839 28.187790 37.890502
2025-06-29 4.242456 6.788419 10.252183 15.169014 21.812370 30.310594 41.814209
2025-07-06 3.785530 6.371059 10.016288 15.347172 22.737232 32.398460 45.728520
2025-07-13 3.481859 6.134623 9.996206 15.794195 24.013835 34.963154 50.319154
2025-07-20 3.178833 5.859657 9.885962 16.086623 25.066561 37.242136 54.580537
2025-07-27 2.839893 5.486164 9.590185 16.075065 25.669232 38.907743 58.044925
2025-08-03 2.406390 4.904241 8.920963 15.451917 25.343473 39.255097 59.693525
2025-08-10 2.113753 4.524813 8.531580 15.215051 25.549516 40.328577 62.348646
2025-08-17 1.833060 4.134159 8.092528 14.872335 25.580356 41.154780 64.690236
2025-08-24 1.615860 3.832051 7.771694 14.689060 25.831279 42.291087 67.487419
2025-08-31 1.396259 3.494962 7.358249 14.320245 25.765033 42.943722 69.588555
2025-09-07 1.271544 3.331083 7.234232 14.420212 26.430748 44.692511 73.317791
2025-09-14 1.134015 3.121231 7.006769 14.324427 26.769828 45.948645 76.341919
2025-09-21 1.043410 3.000557 6.933673 14.488152 27.530064 47.859885 80.377685
2025-09-28 0.962271 2.889896 6.869124 14.659301 28.302909 49.804738 84.501868
2025-10-05 0.916089 2.854611 6.947939 15.090017 29.520800 52.469139 89.769280
2025-10-12 0.858111 2.782935 6.947262 15.371879 30.492372 54.766245 94.520522
2025-10-19 0.777551 2.643147 6.795244 15.360685 30.956854 56.265651 98.071773
2025-10-26 0.655263 2.374284 6.348027 14.759845 30.367807 56.053182 98.954478